Monday, March 24, 2008

Our Slip Is Showing

It was only last weekend that the Fed stepped in and averted a huge train wreck with the sale of Bear Stearns to JP Morgan. Beyond that, the Fed added new tools to its tool bag in permitting investment houses to shore up their liquidity like commercial banks. The Fed arranged for bond swaps for the investment houses that before the present credit crisis was unheard of.

Yet with all this going on, on the front page of Sunday’s New York Times, column six features an article titled Split Is Forming Over Regulation Of Wall Street, New Powers Proposed, Such Steps Could Stall Economy’s Recovery Opponents Say.

The meat-eaters of Wall Street are worried that new regulations might restrict or eliminate their ability to run down fresh game. On the plains of Africa, the big cats kill only what they need to feed themselves and their pride, but on Wall Street, there is no such thing as too much dead meat. The old, the weak and the young are all fair game for these big cats. Wall Street does not need Washington's politicians and regulators interfering with their food chain. However, when they get into trouble, then it is fine for Washington and the Fed to throw them a life line. Should not privilege be accompanied by responsibility?

I knew this debate was coming weeks ago. This is not the first time Wall Street has killed more than it can eat. Yet every time there is a crisis the lines are drawn and the debate begins, more or less regulation, new or better oversight. If investment banks are going to be treated to the privileges of the commercial banks, then common sense would follow that they would have to adhere to the same responsibilities as commercial banks with regards to reserve requirements and reporting. But this does not answer the question with regards to the rating agencies, who I see as one of the weakest links in the system. The securitization of asset-backed credits, like sub prime mortgages, needs a rating system that works and can not be compromised.

A bureau of weights and measures is a good thing, without it, commerce could not function. Aside from the fact that a two-by-four stud is no longer two inches by four inches, weights and measures are a very necessary thing for commerce to work effectively. Somehow or someway, the present system of placing ratings on bonds by private companies engaged in this craft needs to be reviewed. If the present system remains in place, Wall Street and the nation will be revisiting this problem again in the future. Bond ratings must stand for something! If the credit work done behind the scenes is suspect, the whole rating system is worthless. The present credit crisis is not the first time that the ratings on bond issues have been in part the cause of a crisis of confidence. The rating function is too important to have its inherit problems of weakness be swept under the carpet. Washington needs to take a look at giving this function its attention too.

New and more comprehensive regulation is imperative to the success of our whole financial system. As a major player in the world of financial instruments, the United States should take the lead and set the gold standard for oversight. New financial products will be crafted to meet the needs for credit and risk management as our economy evolves. This should not be thwarted, but common sense would dictate that the present patchwork system of regulation is not up to the task that confronts us all. As a nation that is dependent upon investors and countries around the world as buyers of our debt, it would seem to me that a high level of confidence in our system of regulation would be axiomatic. Stay tuned.

3 comments:

WetPaint said...

Hi MT!

I went to CT today to see grandma's old house. The little Norwegian cottage amidst the 50's track houses still stands. But alas, they replaced the slate shingle roof with a poor imitation red modern shingle.

Is there an argument to be made that rating is subjective, based on speculation on how well something will do? Are there objective mathematic formulas already in place? Are the formulas proprietary to the ratings companies? Is the ratings system corrupt? I would like to see the fed do the rating.

I am staying tuned.

I agree- you want the privileges, then you have to shoulder the responsibility as well. But then, this is a country where you can be sent to kill and be killed, but can't legally have a beer. The opposite non-sensical take.

We do need to set the standard- before someone else does, and we don't pass muster!

I enjoy your insiders take!

-Kristine

Anonymous said...

Moneythoughts,

You have a great blog.

This is the face of capitalism in America today: the privatization of profits and the socialization of losses. The financial services industry is the loudest champion of free markets and less regulations when profits are to be had. When catastrophic losses are created by their own lax lending standards, the industry is first to come with hat in hand to the Fed—and ultimately, the “investors of last resort”—the taxpayers.

All economic agents pursued their own interests during the housing bubble. Borrowers took on too much debt (some committing mortgage fraud) to pursue a lifestyle they couldn’t ultimately afford or to grow home “equity.” Agents in the housing feeding chain (lenders, investment banks, ratings agencies, Realtors, mortgage brokers, etc, etc) were chomping at the bit to collect fees and could have cared less about the losses they were passing on to yield-starved bondholders.

In a way, all participants got what they were seeking and what they ultimately deserved. Now, the bill has arrived, and it appears the taxpayer is on the hook.

Todd said...

Thanks for looking me up MT. I'll be perusing your posts for sound advice for my retirement.
For starts, I want to spend 10k on some Leica camera equipment. Is that a good idea? Jeff over at http://jkirlin.blogspot.com/ keeps talking me out of it.