Monday, May 19, 2008

The Fed and The Level Playing Field

I read my Sunday New York Times and now I am more upset than before I read the articles in the Sunday Business Section. I am so upset, I do not even know where to begin. I am unhappy with the way our country carries on monetary policy, though I am always hoping for the best. But, like some one unhappy with his church, but always wanting the church to live up to its potential to do the right thing, I do not want to give up on the Fed. The Fed is our central bank, and the only one we have.

Jesus would not save under this monetary policy. If you invest, chances are you are going to make out OK. Those that have the extra cash to invest can buy stocks or equity mutual funds. If you do not like the stock market, there are bonds and bond mutual funds to buy. If you are worried about inflation eating up your principal, there are TIPS. What are TIPS? They are U.S. Treasuries that adjust for inflation, known as Treasury inflation-adjusted securities (TIPS). If the Consumer Price Index goes up the TIPS adjust to protect the investor from the loss of purchasing power from the effects of inflation. What about the family that can not afford to buy TIPS? What do they do? Well, they can put their cash in an insured savings account at a bank and earn a lower taxable interest rate and the principal is not protected by a Consumer Price Index adjustment. Why would anyone save money under such a scenario? Poor people are stuck with a traditional savings account while the wealthy people can put their money in bonds that adjust for inflation. Now, perhaps you can understand why I ask: whose monetary policy is it anyway?

We know that there is no such thing as a level playing field. The level playing field is the ideal that supposedly we all strive for. Why is our monetary policy so segued in favor of the rich? By definition, such a policy makes the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. It is time for monetary policy in this country to be practiced with an eye to protect the working poor as well as the rich. Inflation hurts people because it reduces their purchasing power. They can not afford to buy as much food, gas, clothing and shelter to meet their needs. The rich can hedge themselves with TIPS and equity investments both public and private funds. The poor takes what is left, a traditional savings account with no Consumer Price Index protection. This is not right. The families that can least afford to take the hit take the hit in their wallets and in their budgets.

So, what is the Fed doing that has got me upset? The Fed has opened a new window for brokerage firms at the Federal Reserve Bank. This window allows brokerage firms to cash in their AAA rated asset-backed bonds for cash, also described as cash for trash. This option for the brokerage firms, in my opinion, makes things a little too easy. Furthermore, the brokerage firms can push off their worst AAA rated paper on the Fed.

What do you mean worst AAA rated paper? Is not all AAA rated paper the same? The short answer is no. The rating agencies gave many of the asset-backed bonds that brokerage firms securitized a AAA rating, but now after the sub-prime mortgage crisis, we come to find out that some of these bonds that were given a AAA rating should not have received a AAA rating.

If an art gallery advertised paintings by Jasper Johns for sale, and you paid a few million for a flag painting by Jasper Johns only to find out later that it was a flag painting by Fred Zigler, you would have been cheated. Such behavior by an art gallery would result in someone going to jail for fraud most likely. But when the rating agencies make “mistakes” and give a AAA rating to a piece of paper like a mortgage bond, there are no consequences. This is a major failing in the rating system. However, no governmental agency wants to take on this problem, not even the Securities & Exchange Commission.

So, what is the bottom line? The Fed is coming to the rescue of these brokerage firms and giving them the opportunity to trade their trash, also know as AAA rated asset-backed bonds, for U.S. Treasuries. Talk about a good deal. They are not asking for a few new cards, they are getting a whole new deck for free. What happens when they go out and repeat the same mistakes? Who pays for their mistakes? Bingo! Yes, you and I the tax payer will pay the price in the end.

So, again I ask: whose monetary policy is it anyway? The central bank, our Federal Reserve Bank, is suppose to help the banking system keep afloat and facilitating the movement of funds from lenders to borrowers and all that good stuff. But, can not this all be done on a more level playing field Mr. Bernanke? Stay tuned.

4 comments:

Vikki North said...

Just wanted to say thank you. I look so forward to reading your blog everyday. For ‘we-the financial illiterate’, you go through such measures to assure that your readers understand the terminology, explanation of what different investments are and any applicable issues. Cannot begin to tell you how appreciated that is. You are one of a kind.
Vikki

Unknown said...

Maybe the concept of "Using the common wealth for the common good" needs to be adjusted and made simpler - so all those busy folks making laws and policies don't have to spend too much time trying to absorb it into their thinking. Maybe it just needs to be restated as a motto. "For The Common Good". Imagine the possibilities. The new congressional motto becomes "For The Common Good" and suddenly House and Senate buy into policies and positions that actually consider the benefit of the PEOPLE.

moneythoughts said...

Amen Lou!

I'm am happy to read that people appreciate the way I explain things. None of this stuff, except derivatives, is rocket science. Derivatives can get very complex, but that doesn't mean they will work as a successful hedge. I should have talked about the integrity of the dollar a little more. If more people realized that the playing field is not level, perhaps more people would start writing and talking about this. For so many families living from one pay check to the next, there is no way they can afford to save, even a little. The system demands that you spend more than you have, and then pay on your debts every month.

winslow said...

Excellent perspective. Our government seems to have lost common sense. I've always advocated that any law or regulation that is passed must pass one critical test, "Will this have a positive effect on the average American"?

Will the election of Obama make any difference?

I just viewed a movie over the weekend (the title eludes me) based in East Germany in the early 1980's and the lack of freedom for citizens unless they were part of the "party". The analogy with the Bush administration is scarry. As one ex-East German government official stated at the end of the movie after the Berlin Wall came down...."those were the good days back then when we had control and could prosper".